‘Agflation’ to hit animal protein

Skyrocketing agricultural commodity prices are causing the world to re-enter a period of ‘agflation’, with food prices forecast to reach record highs in 2013 and to continue to rise well into Q3 2013. Unlike the staple grain shortage 2008, this year’s scarcity will affect feed intensive crops with serious repercussions for the animal protein and dairy industries, according to Rabobank.

Luke Chandler global head of agri-commodity markets research at Rabobank comments, “The impact on the poorest consumers should be reduced this time around, as purchasers are able to switch consumption from animal protein back towards staple grains like rice and wheat.

MeatExportNZ covered this topic in a post last week ‘Global meat prices to surge’ but Chandler makes some additional points.

Firstly, that he does not anticipate the current period of agflation leading to the unrest witnessed in response to the shortage in 2008.

Rabobank estimates that the Food and Agricultural Organisation (FAO) Food Price Index will rise by 15 per cent by the end of June 2013. In order for demand rationing to take place, in turn encouraging a supply response, prices will need to stay high. As such Rabobank expects prices – particularly for grains and oilseeds – to remain at elevated levels for at least the next 12 months.

Chandler says that whilst the impact of higher food prices should be reduced by favourable macroeconomic fundamentals (low growth, lower oil prices, weak consumer confidence and a depreciated US dollar); interventionist government policies could exacerbate the issue.

“Stockpiling and export bans are a distinct possibility in 2012/13 as governments seek to protect domestic consumers from increasing food prices. Increased government intervention will likely encourage further increases in world commodity and food prices,” he warns.

Rabobank expects that localised efforts to increase stockpiles will prove counterproductive at the global level, with those countries least able to pay higher prices likely to see greater moves in domestic food price inflation. This is a vicious circle, with governments committing to domestic stockpiling and other interventionist measures earlier than usual – recognising the risk of being left out as exportable stocks decline further.

On top of that, Rabobank warns that global food stocks have not been replenished since 2008, leaving the market without any buffer to adverse growing conditions. Efforts by governments to rebuild stocks are likely to add to food prices and take supplies off the market at a time when they are most needed.

I’ll just print me a steak …

Traditional meat exporters will need to consider future protein competition coming from outside the box in the future, as new technology is attracting innovation funding around the world.

One such piece of research, by a US company called Modern Meadow, has this week gained between US$250,000-300,000 for a tissue engineering project. Modern Meadow is said to be developing a fundamentally new approach to meat and leather production, “which is based on the latest advances in tissue engineering and causes no harm to animals.”

The news was announced by the US-based Thiel Foundation, set up by one of the founders of PayPal Peter Thiel. It was one of three new grants, awarded through its Breakout Labs programme. This is a revolutionary revolving fund to promote innovation in science and technology. The two other grants went to medical and therapeutic innovations.

According to Breakout, Modern Meadow co-founders Gabor and Andras Forgas respectively invented and helped to commercialise bio-printing, a technology that builds tissues and organ structures based on the computer-controlled delivery of cells in three dimensions. The two previously co-founded Oganovo,a a San Diego-based regenerative medicine company which applies bio-printing to a range of medical applications including drug discovery, drug testing and ultimately transplant tissues. They plan to use the Breakout Labs funding to apply the latest advances in tissue engineering beyond medicine to produce novel consumer biomaterials, including an edible cultured meat prototype that can provide a humane and sustainable source of animal protein to consumers around the world.

“Breakout Labs is a much-needed source of funding and support for emerging technologies like ours,” says Andras Forgacs. “Investors across the board have become more risk-averse and yet early funding is critical to enable truly innovative ideas.”

Modern Meadow, based in Missouri, is combining regenerative medicine with 3D printing to imagine an economic and compassionate solution to a global problem, says Lindy Fisbhurne, Breakout Labs’ executive director. “We hope our support will help propel them through the early stage of their development so they can turn their inspired vision to reality.”

Launched in November 2011, Breakout Labs provides teams of researchers in early-stage companies with the means to pursue their most radical goals in science and technology. To date, the fund has awarded a total of nine grants, of up to $350,000 each. Breakout Labs accepts and funds proposals on a rolling basis.

Although very early days as yet, the concept supported by the fund could bring printing your own steak for the barbie nearer to reality, but just don’t expect it in the near future.

The Modern Meadow innovation is not alone in attempting to solve the world’s future protein needs. New Zealand’s Riddet Institute is also working on the joint PROTEOS project with its counterpart Wageningen University in The Netherlands, “formulating novel solutions that involve extending and using more effectively future animal-based protein sources, transforming the protein supply chain” – essentially growing meat in the laboratory. Project plans involving staff from both organisations will be finalised this year.

 

 

 

In the news this week (3)

People are key to the success of Riddet Institute’s Agri-Food Strategy wrote Jon Morgan in a Dominion Post opinion piece early on last week. “The prize is too great to abandon,” he said.

So, focus is now shifting to the week-long chief executives’ Primary Sector Boot Camp at Stanford University in California later this month, which will be attended by over 20 chief executives including meat industry leaders Keith Cooper of Silver Fern Farms and Mark Clarkson of ANZCO Foods, alongside Minister of Primary Industries David Carter. On the table for discussion will be the Agri-Food Strategy.

Agmardt is principal sponsor of the private sector-led chief executive forum designed to unlock the global potential of New Zealand’s primary sector. At the time of the sponsorship announcement at the end of April, Jeff Grant chairman of the Agmardt board of trustees said he regarded the boot camp as an ideal fit under the grant body’s new strategic priorities.

“A key outcome of the boot camp is to explore and drive in-market collaboration within New Zealand’s primary sector, which is strongly aligned with Agmardt’s new strategy to fund activities that enable New Zealand agribusiness to identify and explore potential opportunities within the global marketplace.”

Grant said the willingness by senior industry leaders to be involved in the camp to discuss and explore strategies for greater collaboration and alignment across a wide range of primary industries, “is extremely encouraging.”

Other supporters of the Primary Sector Boot Camp, which will comprise leaders from the dairy, beef, sheep, seafood, viticulture and horticulture sectors, include the Ministry of Science and Innovation, the Ministry for Primary Industries and NZ Trade and Enterprise.

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Other news appearing over the week included:

Protein sources of the future –A new New Zealand/Dutch study has outlined the coming challenges to meeting future demand for protein. In a review published this week in the journal Trends in Food Science and Technology, Dr Mike Boland from the Riddet Institute and his colleagues at the Wageningen University in the Netherlands have drawn on a range of research sources to peer into the future of the world’s food supply. They say, as demand is outstripping supply of meat, mankind will “need to get creative” with its protein sources, considering competition between humans and pet food industries, noting that rabbits and other novel animal species, “should not be discounted as having an important part to play in future animal protein production systems,” and speculate that there may be ways to derive dietary protein from food waste from biofuel crop leftovers. Whatever happens, consumer acceptance will be key, say the authors.

New NZTE chairman – Interesting to note that former Fonterra chief executive, Andrew Ferrier, has been named as the new chairman of the New Zealand Trade & Enterprise (NZTE) board. Replacing Jon Mayson, he will commence his three year term on 1 November. Announcing the appointment, Economic Development Minister Steven Joyce says that Ferrier will bring “strong governance and strategic capability to the NZTE board”. Ferrier is a director of Orion Health Ltd and CANZ Capital Ltd. He was appointed to the University of Auckland Council in March 2012. Prior to his work with Fonterra, he was involved with the global sugar industry. Born in Canada, he has been a New Zealand citizen since 2008.

A new Code of Welfare for Meat Chickens came into effect on 26 July, setting out the minimum standards and best practice guidelines for the poultry industry. The new Code replaces the Code of Welfare for Broiler Chickens that was released in 2003. The new Code has a broader scope and includes chickens that have access to the outdoors, says the National Animal Welfare Advisory Council (NAWAC). “Another key change is that farmers will have to take the environment of the chicken into account when deciding how many chickens to keep in a designated area,” NAWAC chair John Hellström says. “Farmers will also be required to stay within the minimum standards for stocking density, but they will now have to also consider things like litter quality, lighting, air quality and temperature when deciding how to house their chickens.” Find out more here.

NZUS Council sponsors MPs visit to Washington – Two MPs Peseta Sam Lotu-Liga and Hon Shane Jones, co-chairs of the New Zealand US Parliamentary Friendship Group, recently returned from a successful NZUS Council sponsored visit to Washington DC. The visit – particularly timely given the stage of the Trans Pacific Partnership negotiations – raised NZ’s profile and also gave the MPS the chance to gain valuable insights about US negotiating interests. In a full programme over a four-day visit, the MPs met with members of the Friends of NZ Congressional Caucus and a range of Congressional representatives and had meetings with senior officials in the State Department, Treasury and US Trade Representative’s office. They were also guests of honour at a well-attended lunch hosted by the US NZ Council. Other guests included Congressional staff, senior US company executives and Council members and supporters. The NZ US Council met the costs of the MPs domestic travel in the US and related on-the-ground costs. Arrangements in Washington were made by the New Zealand Embassy.

World price slump put lamb back on Kiwi menus – the NZ Herald reported over the weekend on the news that prices for Kiwi consumers are down too and they are responding enthusiastically. Read more… 

Finally, with the London Olympics in full swing this week, it seems only right to congratulate all of the Kiwi athletes, but particularly B+LNZ Inc’s bronze medal award-winning Iron Maidens Rebecca Scown and Juliette Haigh for their  success in the women’s pairs (rowing) and Alison Shanks (cyclist) for her tremendous efforts in the team event. All the best now to Sarah Walker (BMX) for her event yet to come on the world sports stage. Go Team NZ!!


 

 

 

 

 

Strengthening the nutrition platform

Fiona Carruthers.

The meat industry, from food technologists to promoters, now has a credible technical resource for nutritional data on beef and lamb, thanks to a bank of recently completed assessments by Beef + Lamb NZ (B+LNZ) Inc, writes nutrition manager Fiona Carruthers.

Being able to provide nutritional information is becoming increasingly important. In the United States, for example, there is now a requirement that nutritional information must be shown on package labels for certain whole cuts of meat, such as steak, or displayed on charts at the store. Previously, this information was required only for processed foods or for meat products with added ingredients such as marinades or stuffing.

B+LNZ has recently undertaken a project to assess the nutritional attributes of over 50 cuts of beef and lamb. It is the largest analysis ever done on New Zealand’s red meat. Updating and expanding the nutrition composition database strengthens the platform on which all activities and communications are based. Sound science is an integral part of B+LNZ’s nutrition portfolio and this new analysis provides a credible technical resource accessible to everyone inside and outside the industry.

In this issue, details of the sampling and methodology used in the project are explained, as well as some top line results.

Sampling

Several criteria relating to sampling and methodology had to be fulfilled in order for the new data to be eligible for inclusion in databases globally.

Samples of beef and sheep meat for analysis were derived from meat processors across the country over a six month period. The need to obtain a representative number of samples from each region was deemed unnecessary as regional variation was thought to be minimal given New Zealand’s small geographical area. The same was true for the potential influence of breed or feed on composition; it was requested all samples came from New Zealand cattle and sheep raised and finished on pasture. All of the sheep meat analysed was ‘lamb’, that is under 12 months of age without any permanent incisor teeth ‘in wear’. An ‘average’ lamb carcase was determined by selecting from carcase grades in proportion to the national slaughter statistics. Beef samples came from P2 steer carcases – those classified as having light to medium fat cover with good muscle development – weighing between 270-320kg.

Lean and fat samples were analysed separately, giving the ability to provide compositional data for cuts with varying degrees of fat trim, or fully lean, as appropriate. The need for this flexibility is underlined by evidence showing many consumers trim fat after purchasing meat, either before or after cooking.

Methodology

For each of the 23 beef and 25 lamb cuts analysed, an average of 10 samples was collected to give a total combined sample of 3kg lean tissue for both cooked and uncooked product. Sample tissue was prepared by separating bone, fat and lean muscle by boning knife. Analysis was carried out on both raw and cooked samples, using appropriate cooking methods advised by B+LNZ’s food specialist. The diagram below  summarises the procedure followed up to the stage of freeze-drying.

Nutrition methodology flow-chart.

Widely-accepted laboratory procedures were used, in line with the requirements of international nutrient databases. A total of 25 nutrients, including proximate analysis, and 40 fatty acids were analysed in the lean and fat samples. Additional data in this new data set includes figures for long chain polyunsaturated fatty acids and vitamin D. Full amino-acid profiles were determined for four uncooked, lean cuts of both beef and lamb.

Results

Fat

The new data shows New Zealand beef and lamb continue to be low fat protein options for consumers, particularly when eaten trimmed of visible fat. Many cuts remain eligible for the Heart Foundation ‘Tick’.

  • Average total fat content across all lean cuts (uncooked) = 4.66g/100g for beef, 4.65g/100g for lamb
  • Average saturated fat content across all lean cuts (uncooked) = 2.17g/100g for beef, 2.45g/100g for lamb
  • Average cholesterol content across all lean cuts (uncooked) = 43.5mg/100g for beef, 63.5mg/100g for lamb

Omega 3s

Oily fish and other seafood are undoubtedly the richest sources of omega 3s. Lean red meat provides smaller amounts but contribution to the diet may be significant when relative amounts eaten are considered.

  • Average long chain omega 3s across all lean cuts (uncooked) = 41mg/100g for beef, 48mg/100g for lamb.

Vitamin D

Vitamin D is gaining an increasing amount of scientific ‘air-time’, both due to its importance in the diet and increasing levels of insufficiency seen in the New Zealand population and other developed countries. Meat has been viewed historically as a poor source of vitamin D, but 25-OH vitamin D3 is now being recognised as a more ‘potent’ form, with a potency factor of 1.5 – 5 suggested by researchers working in this area. Initial analysis of the vitamin D data shows 100g of beef or lamb can provide about 10% of the daily vitamin D requirement (NZ/Aus = 5μg).

Nutrient claims

Data suggests eligibility for a range of nutrient claims, for example ,g iron, zinc, protein and vitamin B12, according to the trans Tasman Food Standards Code, both as a ‘source’ (≥10% RDI) and ‘good source’ (≥25% RDI), as well as being low in sodium.

This new data confirms lean New Zealand beef and lamb can be promoted on its nutritional attributes. As a nutrient-dense food, a small serving of lean red meat gives large amounts of important nutrients for good health.

Further information is available from Fiona Carruthers, nutrition manager, B+LNZ. Email: [email protected].

Published in Food NZ (June/July 2012).

 

Red meat mortality claims rebuffed

Courtesy: B+LNZ Ltd

A recent American study of 121,432 US health professionals has come to the conclusion that consumption of red and processed meats is associated with an increased risk of early deaths from cancer and heart-disease. However, nothing could be further from the truth say nutritional experts.

The Harvard University paper ‘Red Meat Consumption and Mortality’ authored by An Pan and Qi Sun, plus associates, appeared in Archives of Internal Medicine. It dealt with two long-term studies that ran between 1980 and 2008 of two cohorts of professionals and documented 23,926 deaths. The researchers quizzed participants on their eating and lifestyle factors.

The boldly-stated conclusion of the authors was that: “Red meat consumption is associated with an increased risk of total, cardio-vascular disease and cancer mortality. Substitution of other healthy protein sources for red meat is associated with a lower mortality risk.”

British qualified nutritionist and obesity researcher Zoe Harcombe, who has analysed the data, suggests there are numerous key problems with the study and says that “the study can at best suggest an observed relationship, or association. To make accusations about causation and risk is ignorant and erroneous.”

She also notes that the numbers are very small. “The overall risk of dying was not even one person in a hundred over a 28 year study. “If the death-rate is very small, a possible slightly higher death rate in certain circumstances is still very small. It does not warrant a scare-tactic ’13 percent greater risk of dying [from unprocessed red meat]’ headline – this is science at it’s worst,” she asserts.

Fiona Carruthers, nutrition manager for Beef + Lamb NZ agrees, pointing out that the methods used to try and predict risk of death from cancer and heart disease in this study are known to be inaccurate and unreliable. “The researchers themselves acknowledge the limitations of how they measured the amount of specific foods eaten, including red meat.”

Other similar studies have shown no risk at all, she says. “There are a number of risk factors for cancer and heart disease; obesity remains the most prevalent. Singling out one food in a condition influenced by such a wide range of factors is misleading.”

The scientific and medical communities agree eating lean red meat as part of a healthy, balanced diet is beneficial to health. It is an excellent source of protein, readily available iron, zinc, selenium, vitamin D and a range of B vitamins, as well as being a low-fat food.

“The results of a single study never change dietary advice or recommendations and this is no exception,” Carruthers says. “New Zealand beef and lamb contribute significant amounts of several nutrients to the diets of New Zealanders. Consumers should therefore be advised to continue to enjoy red meat three to four times a week as part of an overall healthy lifestyle.”

Published in from Food NZ magazine (April/May 2012).